Ok, time to talk a little T3 stuff and why we're not seeing a lot of stuff on the market yet (nor will we for a couple of months). As you all know Apocrypha brought all that juicy T3 goodness to the EVE universe. And people are wondering why we're not seeing a large quantity of T3 ships on the market yet.
The answer is simple: Manufacturing skills.
Making a T3 cruiser/subsystem is a 4 stage process done along 2 branches. Along one branch you have ancient relics that get reverse engineered into BPCs. Along the other you get Gasses which are reacted into polymers which with salvage are manufactured into T3 components. Then finally these two branches join to manufacture a T3 cruiser hull or subsystem because the T3 ships are only made up of T3 components.
3 1/2 weeks into Apocrypha and AMC (my alliance for those asleep at the wheel) is able to react the gasses and manufacture the components. This without problem and rather quickly (still some shortages of specific gasses but hey can't have everything). We can make all the components. Still no problem. We've even started (un-successfully so far) to reverse engineer hulls and subsystems. The kicker is that last step is a doozy.
It will take me 29 more days from today to be able to manufacture a T3 subsystem. Assuming others will concentrate on the hulls, that means it will be 44days from today to be able to manufacture all T3 subsystems. Then to be able to manufacture a Loki it'll be 90 days from today, add about 22 days for each racial cruiser hull after that.
Now admitedly most of that is working up the pre-requisites. But still this means that the number of pilots that could have conceivable manufactured T3 ships in short order was actualy quite rare.
Supply and demand is going to do funny things over the next few weeks. The price of most T3 components is going to drop as the gasses, salvage polymers and components don't move very fast. BPCs will also start going down as they don't move very quickly. Slowly people will get out of the farming of this stuff as it doesn't pay very much. Then slowly over the next 2-3 months demand will pick up as more and more industrialist will finally be coming online. By which time most of the farmers (except the isk farmers) will have gotten out of the market. Then slowly the glut of components will clear out thanks to more manufacturers coming online causing a rebound in the basics prices. This combination means that the odds of of seeing a sub-1B T3 cruiser in the next year are probably smaller than people think.
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